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S3 Research

Weekly Short Squeeze Candidates

There are two primary forces that produce short side squeezes – trading losses and high stock borrow financing costs. Over the past week there were twelve domestic stocks that had short interest over $50 million with stock borrow fees increasing by 1.00% fee or more. Of those twelve, there were eight stocks that lost money during the month.

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November Short ETF Analytics

We are tracking over two thousand ETF’s with $156 billion of Short Interest in the domestic ETF market. Overall, we saw a +$10.17 billion increase of incremental net short selling in November as short sellers increased their short exposure on 51% and decreased their exposure on 41% of the 2,077 domestic ETF’s that we cover (8% had no change in shares shorted).

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Best & Worst Short Plays for the Month of November

The $914 billion of average U.S. equity short sales that we follow were overall un-profitable in November, losing -$36.95 billion in net-of-financing mark-to-market losses, for a monthly return of -4.04%. Intelsat SA (I) shorts were the most profitable in dollar terms, up +$308 million in mark-to-market profits for the month.

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Hottest Short Stocks as of 12/2/19

Clovis Oncology Inc (CLVS) jumped into the top spot in the U.S. Highest Stock Borrow Fee rankings, jumping eight spots with an increase of 69% fee in the last two weeks. Borrow rates will continue to climb as new stock borrows are going at over 400% fee today as there are very few shares left to borrow. CLVS stock loan recalls are also hitting the street in size. Another fast riser is McDermott Intl, jumping ten spots as rates are topping 200% fee today.

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What Are the Shorts Doing? Week of 11/25 – 12/2

We are tracking $880 billion of Short Interest in the domestic equity market and with the S&P 500 up +0.12% and the Nasdaq up +0.56%. Overall, we saw a -$6.21 billion decrease of incremental net short selling this week as short sellers increased their short exposure on 30% and decreased their exposure on 33% of the 9,229 domestic stocks that we cover (37% had no change in shares shorted).

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S3 Analytics: European Hottest Short Stocks – Week of 11/15-11/21

We calculate daily short interest and stock borrow financing rates on $186 billion worth of European securities. Of the $186 billion there are $138 billion worth of non-record date affected securities with over $25 million in short interest that is the basis for this research note.

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UBER Shorts are Covering – Is the Ride Over?

 Just over a week ago UBER Technologies (UBER) was the largest short in the U.S. Trucking sector but a month of post-IPO lockup short covering has dropped it to the number two short in the sector behind Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX). UBER short interest is still significant, with 29.76 million shares shorted worth $834 million, 3.91% of its float.

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Hottest Short Stocks as of November 19th

There are no “super-hot” stock borrows over 100% fee now, but Aurora Cannabis (ACB), Tilray (TLRY), Hexo Corp (HEXO) and Clovis Oncology (CLVS) are trending that way. Stock borrow costs in the Cannabis Sector continue to trend higher than the overall market with four Cannabis stocks in the top ten and five in the top twenty-five.

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Cannabis Stocks Rebound – Shorts down $272 million

The twenty most shorted cannabis stocks are up over +9.6% in mid-day trading as BofA ML raised its rating on Canopy Growth (CGC US, WEED CN) to a buy; Green Organic Dutchman (TGODF US, TGOD CN) gained access to several additional provinces outside of Ontario; and Altria Group (MO US) increased its Cronos Group (CRON US, CRON CN) holding by 6.7 million shares to keep its 45% ownership level. In addition, the House Judiciary Committee approved H.R. 3884, a bill which would allow and tax cannabis sales federally by a vote of 24-10.

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